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running variance expression
Published by: admin 2009-01-09
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  • I think the expression for a running mean/average in iterative/pseudocode form would be something like: x = new data value sum = sum + x count = count +1 running_mean = sum/count repeat... what would be the iterative/pseudocode expression for a running variance? by 'running' I mean that I have a list that I periodically append to, and I cannot store all the previous values. for running mean, I don't store x[1], x[2], etc. just thier sum and the count. a link to straight answers like this would be appreciated. I get hundreds of hits on every math topic I try, but no pages get right to the point of stuff like the question above.


  • I'm under the impression that the answer to this is perfectly well known and a knowledgable person would know off the top of their head or would know right where to look. if you know you can provide the answer, but it will require real work, give me some idea of the effort required so I can price it better.


  • One quick point that I forgot to mention. Java, like C and C++, has 0-based indexing in arrays; while your pseudocode, like Fortran, Matlab, and a lot of pseudocode, uses 1-based indexing on arrays; in any case, this is the reason that 1 is added to the denominator in the expressions for the mean and mean of the squares in the code given.
  • Phys. Rev. A 31, 2248 (1985): Bauche-Arnoult et al. - Variance of ::
    The complete expression of the variance a2 for the subarray 1NNj '-lN" is listed .. the summations now run over all eigenvectors a- jN+lqIJM) (9) b = [i!
    http://link.aps.org/doi/10.1103/PhysRevA.31.2248
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  • Thank you for the question. As always, if you have any questions or need additional information, please use the "Request Clarification" button on the browser before rating this answer. The variance of a random variable X is the E(X^2)-E(X)^2 . (see e.g. http://mathworld.wolfram.com/Variance.html). Therefore, a running variance can be computed simply by using running means of the original data and the squares of the original data. Below is a Java program that shows the implementation in a method called "variances" that returns the running variances of an array of data. The test program generates an array of data from a uniform distribution, whose variance should be 1/12, ( http://mathworld.wolfram.com/UniformDistribution.html ) . Here is a sample script: %javac Variance.java % java Variance 100 Expected variance of: 0.08333333333333333 got variance of: 0.0840287590180841 % java Variance 1000 Expected variance of: 0.08333333333333333 got variance of: 0.08806610259355246 % java Variance 10000 Expected variance of: 0.08333333333333333 got variance of: 0.08249038698065755 % java Variance 1000000 Expected variance of: 0.08333333333333333 got variance of: 0.0833870225438409 Here is the code (note: sometimes code does not render properly. If this is a problem, I can put it on a website). public class Variance{ public static double variances(double data){ double sum=0; double sumsquare=0; int len=data.length; double mean=0; double variances=new double[len]; for (int i=0;i0)len=Integer.parseInt(args[0]); doubledata=new double[len]; for (int i=0;i

  • I think the price might be a little too low.


  • Your analysis is correct. However, it is not a good idea to use the symbol E for summation, since in probability theory E means expectation, or mean (what you use double angle brackets for).


  • do you mean that it's a difficult question?


  • so, let me just see if I've got this right (expressed as I'm used to seeing it) running variance = 1/N * E(x^2) - ( E(x)/n )^2 (where E means summation) or: v = - ^2 so I could use: x = new data value sum = sum + x sumofsquares = sumofsquares + x^2 count = count +1 running_mean = sum/count running_variance = 1/count * sumofsquares - running_mean^2 repeat... ?


  • The problem with sum_var = sum_var + (x - running_mean)^2 is that running_mean changes at each iteration, so all of the previous summands to sum_var would actually have to be re-calculated. The code with these two lines added would still give a reasonable approximation to the true variance at each stage, as long as the data come in an unsorted order, but the approach given by rbnn gives the correct variance at each stage. The sum of the squares is independent of the order in which the data are given, and records enough information to compute the variance because of linearity: sum( (x_i - mean)^2 ) = sum( x_i^2 ) - sum( -2*x_i*mean) + sum(mean^2) = sum(x_i^2) - 2*mean*sum(x_i) + mean*mean*count = sum(x_i^2) - mean*mean*count


  • Would it work to just add a couple lines to your running mean code? sum_var = sum_var + (x - running_mean)^2 running_var = sum_var/count





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